НСБ «Хранитель» Национальная безопасность Охранная деятельность Видеожурнал "ХРАНИТЕЛЬ"
 
 
 
 

02 january, 2007 | Ron Hamilton

Roy's article (1220673)

 

Date:        28 March 2007

From:       Ron Hamilton + Roy’s comment

Subject :  Roy's article

 

 

Dear Sergei,
 
Your tongue-in-cheek criticism of the western analysts whose work most often influences US policy decisions has me rolling on the floor laughing!!! Fantastic and funny writing. The real analysis is spot on too. Thanks for this. Well done.
 
I agree that the social contract is now the biggest issue facing Russia. I have to say that Putin needed the money and power brokers both in the top echelons of the government and the private sector to implement the most urgent reforms and programs to stabilize the country as he has done as president.
 
So, now that he has accomplished the initial reforms he may now through other mechanisms as you suggest be able to tackle the social fairness (contract) problem. Had he tackled the social issues before the other issues and attempted to redistribute the wealth more equitably with a progressive tax system he would have likely failed on all initiatives from the very beginning.
 
The most pertinent and applicable historical example of where Russia is today (socially) for me is Teddy Roosevelt's presidency. Russia today most closely resembles the US during our Robber Barron period. Politically Russia is facing the same issues of succession that President Washington faced, but he had his VP Adams to pass on the power to (a trusted, capable man) and Adams even as President continued to consult Washington. The US was blessed in that our first six Presidents were virtually indistinguishable in political ideology, character, and talent thus assuring a 40 year period of stable like-minded leadership basically continuing the revolution and providing leadership stability. They were all mostly wealthy capitalists from the landed class. 
 
I can only wonder how much Putin's reputation and great respect from the Russian people will provide him the power necessary to push through the needed social and tax reforms once out of the Kremlin. I think that he is going down in history as the Father of the modern Russian nation and in my opinion will be as revered in the future in Russia as George Washington is among Americans.
 
So I think that the number one problem is the social contract and the number two problem is the succession and continuity of Putin style stability and firm leadership.
 
You live in exciting times in Russia. 

Ron Hamilton



 

Roy’s comment:

 

 

 

Dear Ron,

I quite agree that rebuilding the state and pleasing the populace are somewhat mutually exclusive tasks, and Putin, or rather the sections of the elite he represents, did right to pursue the former first and put off the latter until a more opportune moment. Actually, he has done quite a great deal to alleviate the lot of the needy, but, as must be clear from my text, not enough. There is a mammoth task ahead, what you call a renewed social contract – and the fulfilling of that contract.

 

I wrote the article the way I wrote it in the hope of giving certain circles a nudge in the right direction (right now I am translating the piece into Russian, hoping to bring it to the attention of those circles). But I fully realize there are plenty of pitfalls on that path. You may not remember the way the original article, “Putin’s Power,” ended. In fact, it ended on a fairly pessimistic note:

 

“Now for the $64000 question: will he or won’t he? Go for scenario B, I mean? It would be highly probable if the impossible happened, the radical-liberal wing of Russia’s political spectrum, headed by a Kasyanov-type character, won the elections, and Putin were driven into opposition by force of events. Alas, even if Khodorkovsky, Gusinsky, Berezovsky, Nevzlin & Co. were allowed to take over every single TV channel, radio station and newspaper in the land, the probability of their victory in a moderately free and fair election would be a big fat zero. The most bizarre versions of Operation Successor are possible, given the electorate’s total disenchantment with the political class as a whole, but the spawning of a victorious force by the oligarchs— No, we had better leave these Freudian fantasies to the “analysts” already in the pay of those same oligarchs and other interested parties.

 

Here I come to the saddest part of my exposé, for the crucial decision obviously devolves on Putin himself – and I just do not believe Putin to be made of the stuff of greatness. A move like the one outlined in Scenario B calls for a man of the stature of Roosevelt or Churchill or De Gaulle, a great leader or just a tough one. Putin is merely a good – perhaps very good – public servant, and we in Russia are very lucky to get even someone like him. Blame it on the Soviet system, with its “negative selection,” or any other factor, but there is no escaping the fact itself. Russia, by the way, is not alone in this fix: as we observe Blair lying his head off in parliament, Berlusconi nimbly evading criminal proceedings, and George W. Bush any time, anywhere, curious phrases flit through one’s mind: “hollow men… stuffed men… Headpiece filled with straw.” And, like another poet said, “We do not choose the times, we live and die in them.” The same goes for the leaders we live and die with.

 

Sadly, it looks like Plan B will have to wait for a stronger man – and a stronger people. Looking into one’s crystal ball, one doesn’t see either emerging any time soon. No one reminds one of a man with the power of hoo-doo. “

 

Certain events in the recent past (some of them mentioned in my latest essay) have made me less pessimistic, but still not as brimful of optimism as the article may be seen to be imbued with. What I referred to as “morphing out of his bureaucratic integument” involves breaking off a multitude of personal ties with utter ruthlessness – and Putin has too much of that human element, “ruth,” to be guided by the merciless dictates of historical necessity alone. I know that that is not the picture the West has of him, but we who watch him day in, day out have learned a few things about him in the past seven years. He will only rock the boat when he is 100 percent certain of the outcome of the rocking process – and knows it will be for the good of all, himself included.

 

You know, I once translated into English a thick volume by Prof. Molchanov about De Gaulle, and there was one lesson I learned from that book: a really great man has a great deal of bloody-mindedness in his ego structure, an ability to tell practically the whole world to go to hell, and to charge ahead as a mad bull. Putin is a bit of a smoothy – or that is my impression.

 

I would dearly love to be mistaken.

 

Best,

Sergei

 

Ron Hamilton’s reply:
 
One of the things that I think we do when we observe someone closely is to notice their faults more so than a historian writing about them a few years later. And, if we are fair-minded we notice their virtues as well. Putin may not seem great to us now at this time, but what he has done for Russia is nothing short of a miracle in my opinion. The state of the Federation today as compared to seven years ago is beyond what was imaginable then. The number of correct steps, well-timed speeches, proper voice tones, proper word choices, proper relationship building, correct reactions to insults and affronts, and the strategic vision required to steer Russia through the last seven years cannot be attributed to pure chance or luck. 
 
His recent Munich speech was definitely an example of rocking the boat and got some very high level attention, but you are right he didn't do it until he knew that the outcome would be positive for Russia. American hubris though prevalent is much more muted after 5 years in Iraq, and the reaction among my country's decision-makers was less aggressive than it would have been five years ago when the Neocon group was convinced that spreading democracy at the end of a gun was the best path for achieving world stability. The reaction here at home, with some notable exceptions, was more of a puzzled zoinks! Let's get busy talking with Russia before we act unilaterally in areas that affect Russia.
 
On the other hand Russian morale is the pits. Most people are just plain worn out and don't seem to have the hardcore work ethic needed to pull the country up by the boot straps. Most of the younger Russian folks I've met working abroad aren't really working too hard. Most are looking for easy jobs and easy money. They display a cynicism so deep that I doubt it can ever be reversed. Likely a product of spending their formative years going through the breakup, financial meltdown, economic depression, and then having to take menial and sometimes demeaning jobs at home and abroad to make ends meet. I.e., university graduates, red diplomas, working in bars serving drinks 12 hours per day seven days per week or former military and police officers working in factories abroad sewing shoes for $500 per month with the same long hours.
 
I understand why you are hopeful but pessimistic at the same time. Many bad things could still happen along the perilous road to stability and normalcy for your country and people.

Best regards,
 

Ron Hamilton

 

 


Комментарии

18 ноября 2015
gjybxzww
Cheap Uggs
Michael Kors Black Friday
Michael Kors Outlet
Ugg Boots
Ugg Boots
Coach Outlet
Ugg Boots
Michael Kors Bags
Michael Kors Outlet
Michael Kors Outlet
Ugg Black Friday
Cheap Ugg Boots
Michael Kors Outlet
Uggs Black Friday
Ugg Black Friday
Uggs Black Friday
Canada Goose Jackets
Michael Kors Outlet
Coach Outlet
Coach Black Friday
Coach Outlet
Coach Outlet
Michael Kors Black Friday
Michael Kors Black Friday
Ugg Black Friday
Coach Outlet
Ugg Boots
Canada Goose Jacket
Ugg Boots
Ugg Boots
Ugg Boots Black Friday
Uggs Black Friday
Ugg Boots
Uggs Black Friday
Coach Outlet
Coach Outlet
Canada Goose Jacket
Michael Kors Outlet
Coach Black Friday
Ugg Black Friday
Coach Outlet
Michael Kors Outlet Online
Michael Kors Outlet
Canada Goose Jackets
Ugg Black Friday
Ugg Black Friday
Coach Outlet
Ugg Boots
Michael Kors Black Friday
Ugg Black Friday
Canada Goose Jacket
Michael Kors Outlet Online
Michael Kors Black Friday
Ugg Boots
Michael Kors Outlet
Ugg Boots
Canada Goose Jacket
Canada Goose Black Friday
Coach Outlet
Michael Kors Black Friday
Michael Kors Outlet
Michael Kors Black Friday
Coach Black Friday
Ugg Boots Black Friday
Ugg Boots Black Friday
Cheap Uggs
Michael Kors Outlet Online
Michael Kors Black Friday
Michael Kors Outlet
Coach Outlet
Cheap Ugg Boots
Coach Black Friday
Michael Kors Outlet Online
Michael Kors Bags
Coach Outlet
12 ноября 2015
Гость
<P>Two replica watches horses gucci outlet Malay barbour jackets sale gone tiffany jewelry then, air max mortal beats audio to michael kors outlet online the woolrich womens jakets hotel juicy couture room babyliss pro outside, lululemon only north face to instyler ionic styler hear burberry outlet online one salomon schuhe of nike roshe humanity: cheap true religion "! tiffany and co Here polo ralph are michael kors outlet hotels, coach purses drinking coach outlet store bowls baseball bats go" nike shoes Shi the north face Biaotou north face obedient prada outlet sound harrods is the north face a christian louboutin native salvatore ferragamo of iphone 6 cases western nike air force Sichuan, converse Zhang mizuno turned uggs outlet to mont blanc pens go, rolex I uggs outlet saw softball bats two tommy hilfiger online men adidas online wearing uggs outlet a puma online shop blue gucci outlet cloth tommy hilfiger outlet robe, toms shoes tied hermes birkin the bottega veneta horse air max under pandora jewelry a straightener large michael kors outlet banyan rayban tree burberry outlet in polo ralph lauren front katespade of nike shoes the coach factory outlet shop, wedding dresses uk into nike store the glasses online store, abercrombie fitch and vans schuhe so jordan release dates 2015 on jimmy choo shoes to adidas schuhe Lin pandora Ping ralph lauren Huang gucci a hermes glance, oakley sunglasses as handbags outlet soon nike free trainer 5.0 Da michael kors Cici's asics gel sit coco chanel down. louis vuitton outlet Both abercrombie and fitch men ugg australia white ferragamo cloth oakley canada wrapped lululemon around louis vuitton outlet their air max heads, oakley sunglasses a free run qingpao, abercrombie seems coach factory outlet online gentle nike outlet dress, ralph lauren outlet online but ray ban two roshe run errands oakley sunglasses bare michael kors foot ralph lauren outlet barefoot, juicy couture outlet wearing replica watches no burberry outlet online ear christian louboutin hemp oakley sunglasses shoes. north face Shi vans store Biaotou new balance outlet know bcbg max people michael kors are longchamp so michael kors outlet plain oakley sunglasses dress, thomas sabo uk white oakley cloth adidas.nl wrapped cheap true religion around mcm bags his burberry outlet head, ray ban sunglasses but boutique clothing then michael kors Zhuge nike factory outlet Liang's ralph lauren uk death, air max Sichuan hollister mourning adidas for toms shoes him, gucci outlet Wuhou nike roshe run love burberry left prada deep, hollister clothing is replica watches under nike air max 2014 the hermes belt Millennium, prada handbags white louis vuitton still michael kors purses go discount shoes first. raybans Lin burberry Ping hollister can ray ban sunglasses not oakley prescription help uggs but dre beats marvel, oakley thinking: oakley sunglasses "The prom dresses two tiffany and co do louis vuitton outlet not ray ban sunglasses do jordan shoes the north face jackets humanities, glasses frames not beats audio Wu katespade Wu, michael kors outlet online children coach purses factory can hilfiger online shop look adidas.se reveals air jordan retro strange." abercrombie and fitch Just nike free 5.1 listen nike schoenen to tiffany und co the new balance young true religion jeans outlet man reloj shouted:! nike roshe run "Bring tory burch sandals Bring soccer shoes cell ray ban I michael kors outlet Fujian! michael kors the the north face outlet mountain rolex watches really, michael kors outlet just coach outlet put pandora bracelet the replica handbags horse christian louboutin outlet tired. louboutin shoes "</P> tommy hilfiger north face timberland outlet thomas sabo louboutin lululemon tory burch sale swarovski uk retro jordans true religion outlet p90x3 celine bags ugg boots zapatillas nike tommy hilfiger gucci handbags tommy hilfiger louis vuitton taschen ugg ugg boots adidas retro jordans nike outlet m a c cosmetics ray ban abercrombie and fitch michael kors cheap oakley sunglasses ray ban sunglasses pandora charms hollister longchamp outlet nfl jerseys swarovski abercrombie burberry outlet nike roshe run marc jacobs handbags adidas nike free timberland outlet chanel sunglasses gucci outlet prada outlet new balance shoes flat iron coco chanel gucci tory burch sandals michael kors outlet online nike.dk converse chucks lululemon canada nike huarache michael kors canada ugg boots toms shoes louboutin outlet coach bags outlet coach outlet michael kors outlet online cheap moncler jackets levi's jeans michael kors outlet insanity workout calendar rolex watches jordan release dates 2015 ed hardy michael kors ray ban outlet supra shoes rolex watches tory burch sandals nike roshe longchamp handbags uhren shop polo ralph lauren outlet ralph lauren longchamp mercurial superfly michael kors outlet p90x3 nike air max ferragamo converse shoes louboutin shoes burberry online shop louis vuitton michael kors outlet online calvin klein underwear new balance louis vuitton outlet michael kors louis vuitton outlet michael kors uhren swarovski online shop cheap jordan shoes beats audio nike huarache michael kors outlet online hollister clothing store nike.se basketball shoes pandora charms mac makeup ugg boots cheap jerseys louis vuitton prada outlet north face michael jordan ugg boots polo ralph lauren burberry outlet online swarovski canada hogan abercrombie nike ralph lauren outlet swarovski jewelry gucci sale barbour mens jackets www.tommyhilfiger.nl louis vuitton nike air max air max 2014 bebe clothing christian louboutin toms outlet vans shoes kate spade ralph lauren ralph lauren polo outlet louis vuitton chanel bags new balance lululemon coach black friday purses and handbags uggs bcbg max pandora jewelry giuseppe zanotti moncler jackets sale ralph lauren uk nike air max rayban tiffany and co longchamp taschen mcm handbags ralph lauren outlet coach outlet reebok swarovski crystal nfl jerseys
27 августа 2015
uwksjdbnu
Negotiations From... Coach Outlet <tr> c Kate Spade
Villa, with just 11 goals fr om their opening 19 league games, clearly have their own problems in that area and that was highlighted shortly after half-time when Weimann pulled a shot wide when he was in space on the left inside the area. Ray Ban Outlet Washington will be blamed for any adverse effects this might have on its ties with China, as all the U.S. accusations against China were made without providing concrete evidence.
mountains to the east. It's about a two-day drive to St. George, Mont Blanc Pens The Madison-based design-build firm Iconica will be leading the expansion project. k http://o.storeonline.us.org
"I spoke to Stuart about age when he told me I wouldn't be in his first Six Nations squad. I said that at the last few World Cups you had (older) players like Brad Thorn, Os du Randt and Neil Back. toms.storeonline.us.com Kakuk was the quintessential people person who forged enduring bonds, Cecsarini said.
v aXBlbGluZSBwcm9wb3NhbC4gU2hlIHNhaWQgc2hlIGZlYXJlZCB0aGF0IGl0IHdvdWxkIHdpbiBh Toms A lot of effort had gone into the immaculate presentation, it was served in mini saucepans and a diddy deep fat frying basket which looked fun and stylish. His verdict was “delicious”. Coach Factory Outlet
j4justice83 Oakley Sunglasses Trevor Carroll of Roddymoor remembers: “He asked my uncle if he had a picture of a horse to paint on the back of a cart. Uncle told him to buy a packet of Bar One cigarettes, which had a horse looking through a horseshoe. He did, and when the painting was finished, the horse looked so real you could even see the hair on its mane.” http://coachoutlet.outletstore.us.com
Star-Ledger staff photographer Tony Kurdzuk and the Associated Press contributed to this report. Prada Bags Besides building the future, what are your main day-to-day challenges? x Polo Outlet
However, head coach Dick Advocaat admitted that although he would have liked to have kept the Hereford-born frontman at Sunderland, the decision boiled down to numbers as the Dutchman felt there were too many strikers in the Black Cats’ squad. Cheap Oakley Sunglasses Daniel said Wells died of asphyxiation when she was pinned under the car and couldn't breathe.
• The competition for the placekicking job remains open -- and remains underrated http://tb.outletstore.us.com Mr Buchanan told the court a brief containing documents would be available to Mr Gormly and the coroner but not to other lawyers.
"Freedom of the press also offers protection fr om the intrusion of the state in the confidentiality of the editorial process as well as the relationship of confidentiality between the media and its informants," the court wrote in its ruling. Freedom of the press also provides special protection to the "the secrecy of sources of information and the relationship of confidentiality between the press, including broadcasters, and the source." Toms Shoes Outlet Andit is surprising because theinstitute, theGovernance andВ Problem Analysis Center (GPAC), is astate-run body that is chaired bystate-owned (RZhD) andby its CEO Vladimir Yakunin.
It was always social and never competitive, Weiss said. Louis Vuitton Outlet Online Trump's greater challenge, over the long term, might have been demonstrated during other, less-talked-about segments of Thursday's debate, which was the first of nine officially sanctioned face-offs that are scheduled during the primary season.
s Its Government's job to provide the infrastructure and individuals to get up on their hind legs and start businesses Ray Ban Sunglasses The procedure established through this research, Slukvin said, can be used to move toward the development of blood-forming stem cells. To get to that stage, the scientists will search for another set of transcription factors.
Assembly Speaker Mike Huebsch (R-West Salem) conceded his party probably had lost five seats, easily putting the 99-member house in Democratic hands. Nonetheless, definitive results were not available early this morning. Oakley Glasses 2015-08-11 08:02:36 g Ray Ban Glasses Outlet
Steven Fletcher looks fitter and sharper than he did last season, but the system played by Poyet does not necessarily suit his style. Connor Wickham is also seen as a centre-forward for the long term, after signing a new deal, but a new forward remains a high priority. The misfiring Jozy Altidore could be moved on amid interest fr om Germany and France. Michael Kors Outlet The players are only able to solve the final riddle after receiving a bit of help fr om a staff member.
f At the same time, the children wore devices that measured their movement. Oakley Sunglasses Outlet The David, Gita and Michael Hoffman Healing Garden, which was inaugurated at the Dana-Dwek Children's hospital at the Tel Aviv-Sourasky Medical Center, on June 4th, provides sick children and their families with a beautiful green park where they can play and have a good time. The Healing Garden, a project funded by a bequest from the Hoffman family from Australia, has playground equipment for children, footpaths, green lawns, tended gardens, a wooden deck, picnic tables, lighting, and musical instrument installations specially designed for outdoor playgrounds. s
Central midfield pairing Phil Turnbull and Portas excelled on Saturday, the former playing a number of fine long-range passes, while the latter’s goal being the highlight of the afternoon. Louis Vuitton Handbags Obama's carbon reduction plan presents the largest demand driver for wind in a decade, said Chris Kunkle, regional policy manager at Wind on the Wires, a St. Paul, Minn.-based wind advocacy group. Ray Ban Glasses
A forensic autopsy was scheduled for Monday. Oakley Sunglasses Living rough b Tory Burch
“With tattoos and a funny haircut, he might look crazy, but he’s not,” said Hasi. “He’s a hard worker, someone who gives everything in every single duel. And his level is constantly increasing. Abercrombie Outlet I wanted to end on a culinary high so I found myself a table at the Shangri La's award-bedecked Shang Palace. Chef Mok brings in other culinary ideas to traditional Cantonese dishes. I'd never thought of twinning lobster with oatmeal, but it works, brilliantly. There were more surprises. Cod I know, but it came with conpoy - the dried part of a scallop. After the pork belly, soy bean sauce and minced pork, something else new; puntalette, tiny grains of pasta which looks like rice, fried with diced shrimp. Chrysanthemum tea lubricated the whole delicious experience.
It's not completely earth-shattering in the sense that the collection was already available online through the library's website. I guess the thing that makes the iPad app a little bit different is just the user experience of accessing the information. It makes it easier to discover music you mightn't have been aware of. The web version is more geared for searching for a particular score. Ms Holmes said the app was a useful showcase of a specific body of material, and that sheet music was the perfect material because it relied on being portable. Coach Factory Tel <b>972-9-7604719</b><br> e Oakley Sunglasses
Despite never playing the game professionally, an accusation likely to be levelled at him which cant be thrown in Kinnear's direction, he is boasting a long list of contacts after striking deals for both Udinese and Inter Milan. Michael Kros Outlet Patrick D. Landon

Написать комментарий

Ваше имя:

Текст комментария
Подтвердите код, изображенный на рисунке

Читайте также

Наши партнеры

 
 
 
 

Полезные ссылки

Корпоративная безопасность

Аутсорсинг безопасности

  

Консалтинг безопасности 

Работа в СБ

Проверки на полиграфе

Работа телохранителя  

Проверка контрагентов

Юридический консалтинг

Возврат долгов

Судебная защита Сопровождение сделок
Судебные экспертизы Внесудебные экспертизы Реестр ЧОО НСБ Третейский суд
Системы безопасности Системы контроля доступа Видеонаблюдение Системы охранной сигнализации
Адвокаты Москвы Адвокат по гражданским делам Лучший адвокат Решение вопросов

 


Продолжается работа НСОПБ по формированию федерального Комитета по оценке компетентности организаций ...
Роскомнадзор продолжает мониторить просторы рунета и блокировать ресурсы, которые нарушают действующ ...
В Большом кинозале Центрального музея Великой Отечественной войны на Поклонной горе состоялся Форум ...
22 ноября в пресс-центре медиа-холдинга РБК прошла организованная Гильдией негосударственных структу ...
21 ноября 2018 в Москве дан старт инвестиционной неделе ОАЭ. Инвестиционной Форум Абу-Даби – Москва ...
Решения по вопросам ценообразования и конкуренции на рынке охранных услуг предложат эксперты в ОП РФ ...
22 ноября состоялась конференция «Умный город – безопасный город», организованная МТПП совместно с Р ...
Дни Арктики в Москве
Арктический Форум “Дни Арктики в Москве” – мероприятие с традициями, проводитс ...
Мнение эксперта
Владимир Платонов МТПП
"За последние годы в Москве произошли качественные сдвиги ...
15 ноября 2018 года в рамках IV Форума Комплексной Безопасности «Безопасность. Крым-2018» в ГК "Ялта ...

Авторизация

Логин:   Пароль:    
   
  Забыли пароль? | Регистрация    
[x]
        Rambler's Top100